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>Past performance does not necessarily indicate future performance, and it should not be the only predictor, but to dismiss a fund's history as inconsequential to its future is silly.

I'm not dismissing it unconditionally, but I'm not going to believe it unless I see the data. What's the probability of a fund outperforming given it has outperformed the year before?




If it has been doing it for three of the last four years, good. If it has been doing it for five of the last seven years, dodgy. IANACFA




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