Reading the book, I had to stop many times to reflect on how poorly constructed the conclusions were. Many of his conclusions suffered from the same biases that he had "discovered", and yet he appeared to be blithely unaware of his own biases.
My favorite part was his discussion of the Linda problem, where he would get different results depending on how the question was phrased. In the book, he never once considered that the problem may be that his formulations of the problem were not well communicated to the study participants.
In the end, I decided that his research into cognitive bias was more a journey of self exploration, but somehow he discovered these biases in everyone except himself.
> In the end, I decided that his research into cognitive bias was more a journey of self exploration, but somehow he discovered these biases in everyone except himself.
Maybe fixing humans is impossible and it would be better for meta-meta-cognition to be accomplished by other people. Clearly they are quite good at it already!
Suppose you had a complete record of a person's speech and writing i.e. some of their outputs.
Could a software be devised which gave the equivalent of a 3rd party observation on your choices? Could you even identify choices from the data?
That's just another example of real research with nuanced conclusions being transformed into pseudo-science for pop-psychology and business management books. Almost every book I read in this area I'm at least familiar with some of the research, or end up reading some of it as I go along. It seems like all books in this class of non-fiction best sellers overstates their conclusions in almost exactly the same way.
My favorite part was his discussion of the Linda problem, where he would get different results depending on how the question was phrased. In the book, he never once considered that the problem may be that his formulations of the problem were not well communicated to the study participants.
In the end, I decided that his research into cognitive bias was more a journey of self exploration, but somehow he discovered these biases in everyone except himself.