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In the 2008 crisis home prices dropped by like 10-15%. The housing market didn't collapse. It's not as if the "bubble burst" and housing was worthless after that.



That very much depends on where you live. It wasn't that bad in the Bay Area because there wasn't a building boom, but in places that there was a boom the prices climbed very quickly and indeed collapsed even more quickly. Las Vegas, Phoenix, Miami and other markets were all hit very hard (60% or so).


Housing markets are kinda weird in a way - when hearing bad news about the economy, people don't immediately get on the phone with a real estate broker and yell to "Sell! Sell! Sell!"

For primary residences most are driven by loss aversion ("I'll sell it when it comes back to the price I paid for it, I don't want to lock in my losses, and this is still a decent place to live").

You're right that some markets experienced steeper declines than others, and the ones that descended quicker were highly leveraged through 0% down, or interest-only (or both) loans. Post-2008 lending scene has been much more restrictive, I can't imagine a lot of people being highly leveraged at the moment.


Not sure about that. My house and that of most friends dropped around 25-35% from the peak in 06-07 by 08-09 and only got back to the peak in 2015.


Like other comments have pointed out, some markets did see much bigger collapses in prices. The markets that did had seen huge price increases driven largely by speculation in 2002-2007.

In the early to mid 00's the idea of "flipping" real estate became popular. The idea was that you would agree to buy a property, and then sell it very quickly, often setting up a deal to sell it before you even fully closed on it yourself. There were a lot of more-or-less amateur investor types who flocked to markets with cheap real estate and strong population growth - e.g. Las Vegas and Phoenix - and started flipping houses. This was pure speculation completely divorced from underlying demand.

I don't think there is anything like that happening today - at least not nearly on as large a scale. So, while I would disagree with the idea that "the market didn't collapse" - it did in some locations - I certainly do agree that it's not likely to collapse in quite as dramatic a way any time soon.


My cousin bought a $600k home in Florida for $250k. That was pretty common.




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