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Spurious cherry-picked statistics. I'm pretty sure most Westinghouse / Intel winners are doing exceptionally well, being in the top 1-10% of the society. A couple of such articles I'm reminded of:

1. Statistician Andrew Gelman's batch of math Olympiad campers: http://andrewgelman.com/2015/03/17/1980-math-olympiad-progra...

2. Indian IIT exam toppers: http://www.openthemagazine.com/article/nation/where-are-they...

3. Famous Intel talent winners: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_Science_Talent_Search

Nobel Prizes are a cherry-picked metric.

Yeah, not all prodigies become adult geniuses. But the article grossly overstates the problem.




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