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We don't know how much it will cost to stream video on the web. That fact alone should ring alarm bells.

The last time they introduced these streaming fees, everyone (including Apple and Real) went mental and predicted that MPEG-4 would die because the licensing was so insane. They had to make some concessions, though it seems unlikely that they got bartered down very far since they started so extreme.

So this time, they let the web broadcasters get away with it for nothing for years while they solidified the markets where they've already got a monopoly.

You've got to admit it's a smooth move, almost Bond-villainesque.




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