On: Costs of under-confidence

[jabagonuts]

> There are two elements to this. One is knowing what you don't know - not being overconfident. The other is knowing what you do know

This reminds me of my musician days, when we sometimes talked about the four stages of progression from beginner to pro.

1. You know you don't know (beginner) 2. You don't know you don't know (cocky amateur - over confident) 3. You don't know you know (talented amateur - under confident) 4. You know you know (seasoned pro)

[percept → jabagonuts]

5. You know you don't know, and nobody else does either (fully realized)

[sph → percept]

"I am the wisest man alive, for I know one thing, and that is that I know nothing."

- Socrates