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- I thought Google was too expensive at its IPO.

- "Cloud" seemed like marketing nonsense to me.

- I still think bitcoin is a scam.

On the plus side I did end up working for some tech companies that did very well. No complaints.

It's really hard (read as impossible) to predict the future. Efficient markets and all that. If it was clear that Google would go where it went then it'd be priced even higher. Even if you knew that "selling things online is the future" in 1992 it's not always clear how to act on that knowledge. You could have gone bust with pets.com or something.

Fast forward to today. What is today's Google? What is today's "cloud"? What is today's bitcoin? Someone is saying something about something, someone is right, many are wrong.




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