I think it is Michelle Obama.
That's what the "market" thinks. You are welcome to "arbitrage" it with some $!
Biden has a non zero probability of dying before the election (of natural causes). Plus DNC nomination is a super pac driven process. Math might just compute.
> Biden has a non zero probability of dying before the election (of natural causes). Plus DNC nomination is a super pac driven process. Math might just compute.
So the odds of Biden dying, times the odds of Michelle Obama wanting to run, times the odds of the DNC not picking Kamala Harris—the current VP, times the odds of Michelle Obama actually winning, might work out to 4%?
...uh... I don't even know what to say about that.
Hmm, yes, getting into financial contracts with people who live in cloud cuckoo land, for a few percentage points that get eaten up by the site itself seems like a good idea.
If Elon was more diligent and spent less time philandering with the far-right he could have anticipated this and provided an appropriate solution or alternative.
This meme of hating someone for having different politics is getting very old. Why didn’t you save the world with all the clear headedness that comes from having the correct politics?
Starlink wasn't developed primarily for the military. Ukraine is literally using a commercial product. That commercial product has prevented electronic warfare better then anybody expect and better then all other competing products.
But its the CEO personal politics that is responsible for a nation states being able to sometimes block a consumer product after multiple years of warfare.
He's probably hesitant to do something that would be likely to bring his company's satellites closer to being seen as combatants in a proxy war between major powers, seeing as they were being used as an important part of Ukraine's drone warfare in this case, and actively countering Russia's countermeasures would be likely to move the status of him and his business interests from "relatively neutral" to "Axis of Evil".
Why bother starting anything in the uk, the taxman will just take any proceeds. The moment I get an opportunity to move to the USA I’m heading over there to continue my business.
What tv gives you static today? Analog tv changed channels fast, because hopefully you got signal lock quickly, and then you can start decoding wherever you are on the screen, and when the next vblank comes, you're good. Tuning latency less than one field.
Digital TV tuning is slow because of compression; when you tune to a stream in progress, you usually can't meaningfully decode it until you receive a I-frame. But I-frames are bigger than motion predicted frames, so it makes sense to only ocassionally send I-frames. Latency: technically unbounded, usually a couple of seconds.
It potentially gets a bit worse if you're on a switched video cable system where your box has to request channels, as now there's a request / response delay. But it shouldn't be too long for local comms... And in theory, the head end could start the stream with an I-frame (otoh, it may not have the processing power to decode/encode).
In theory, a TV with multiple tuners could do predictive decoding to help with channel surfing, but I don't think anybody actually does that.
I wonder if another solution would be for channels broadcast a subchannel which has more frequent i-frames, but lowered resolution and framerate to compensate for it in terms of overall bandwidth. When you surf, the TV could first hit up the subchannel, get the low-rez i-frame, and start showing a lower-quality version of the channel's video feed much faster, then start working on fetching and decoding the "real," full-resolution video feed and switch it over when it's ready. It still wouldn't be as fast and perfect as it was for analog and it'd require some industry collaboration and a bit of new hardware, but it still should be a more pleasant experience for people who just want to quickly see what's on.
> And in theory, the head end could start the stream with an I-frame (otoh, it may not have the processing power to decode/encode).
Some systems already do this. When I change channel on my iptv, it immediately shows static frame (looks like last known iframe) and starts sound, then after up to 2s starts playing video, probably waits for next iframe because you can't start decoding from middle of stream anyway.
