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World War II was won because of US and (less advertised) Soviet manufacturing capacity.

Ukraine is more constrained by weapon supplies, especially drones and artillery, than by manpower.

I'm not sure both sides are playing the same game. In the game I think might be afoot, if your economy is management consultants, therapists, and hair stylists, that's "bad" GDP. Resources and manufacturing are "good" GDP. Resources are complex in that stone are renewable, and some go away when you export them.

I'm not even going to talk about education or, related, R&D capacity.


high finance/management can be quite valuable when you’re trying to plan a conflict. this is how you get the industries developed that are capable of designing a system to turn sand into missile-targeting systems.

i’m extremely skeptical of people’s ability to view the economy from on high and pick out the “good, productive gdp” and the “bad, makework gdp”.


> i’m extremely skeptical of people’s ability to view the economy from on high and pick out the “good, productive gdp” and the “bad, makework gdp”.

Maybe in general, but rent-seeking is a pretty large part of the economy by estimates I've seen.


There's a huge step to I'm capability with 16gb and 24gb, for not to much more. The 4060 has a 16gb version, for example. On the the cheap end, the Intel Arc does too.

Next major step up is 48GB and then hundreds of GB. But a lot of ML models target 16-24gb since that's in the grad student price range.


At the 48GB level, L40S are great cards and very cost effective. If you aren’t aiming for constant uptime on several >70B models at once, they’re for sure the way to go!

> L40S are great cards and very cost effective

from https://www.asacomputers.com/nvidia-l40s-48gb-graphics-card....

nvidia l40s 48gb graphics card Our price: $7,569.10*

Not arguing against 'great', but cost efficiency is questionable. for 10% you can get two used 3090. The good thing about LLMs is they are sequential and should be easily parallelized. Model can be split in several sub-models, by the number of GPUs. Then 2,3,4.. GPUs should improve performance proportionally on big batches, and make it possible to run bigger model on low end hardware.


Dual 3090s are way cheaper than the l40s though. You can even buy a few backups.

Yeah, I’m specifically responding to the parent’s comment about the 48GB tier. When you’re looking in that range, it’s usually because you want to pack in as much vram as possible into your rack space, so consumer level cards are off the table. I definitely agree multiple 3090 is the way to go if you aren’t trying to host models for smaller scale enterprise use, which is where 48GB cards shine.

An yes. The inevitable, long-predicted end of Moore's Law.


My guess is that most people on a jury would convict, but the odds of an entire jury convicting are less than fifty percent. I don't know how much less.

Tha kind of flexibility is the point of a jury. Laws aren't purely mechanical in most countries, for good reason. There's a lot of complexity and nuance, especially when some people have political power.

I don't have enough background here to make a judgement about what a jury should do, but I do have enough background to know that things like jury nullification are important to a well-functioning justice system.


For the record, in my local elections, we have plenty of people voting illegally.

"Is it legal" is very different from "Can they."

By "local," I mean municipal and below. I didn't mean "federal elections conducted in my locality." Election security kicks for state, federal, and some municipal elections.

Others are intentionally fraudulent (e.g. local corruption) or unintentionally broken (e.g. using Google Forms for a school-level public body, where people not legally qualified to vote might still do it, unaware they're committing a felony).

And "public body" has a specific meaning under my state law which extends the same laws as e.g. cutting for my state senate. That's bodies like local school boards, but not random school clubs.

That's the level where we have massive illegal voting where I live.


That would be a very, very bad outcome for the free world.

We lost commercial ship yards, and or navy is on a long, slow march to obsolescence. That's messy decades it -- we have a huge lead -- but it's the path we're on.

I don't know the solution here.


I don't see a problem with the military rotting away.


Boeing has a lot of untapped markets. It's one of the few companies which can do things which require scale and regulatory changes in aviation.

Technology is where autonomous flying cars, for example, are mostly constrained by regulatory and major capital.

Less ambitious would be things like sleeper planes for long haul red-eyes.

General aviation is a smaller industry, but also ripe for distribution by someone with capital and regulatory connections. It's stuck in 1970-era technology.

I can name dozen of other things Boeing could pull off, if lead by someone like Jobs -- someone with both vision and the ability to execute.


If you want flying cars, please invent a silent, energy-efficient and safe levitation technology first, then we can talk...


Silent is hard, but safe and efficient is virtually any modern jetliner. The interesting problem is safe, easy, low-maintenance and cheap.


>Technology is where autonomous flying cars, for example

This just sounds like fantasy wishful thinking like Elon's Hyperloop or FSD Model 3 Robotaxis that have been constantly around the corner in the next 6 months for the past 6 years.

>are mostly constrained by regulatory and major capital.

Ah yeah, those pesky regulations about *checks notes*… not killing people. Just like that millionaire "innovator" that got himself and others killed with his carbon fiber submarine who thought he could innovate his way around regulations and engineering process build around decades of accidents and deaths at sea.

Maybe stuff like this shouldn't be left to the move-fast-and-break-things crowd.


Your notes are quite wrong. Most regulations are not about not killing people with checks notes state-of-the-art-1970-technology.

This is even more true in zoning. There are much better ways to build homes possible, but not when a regulation is phrased in terms of distance between wooden stuffs, rather than safety and durability.

Economies of scale continue to mean that entrenched technologies get used.

Pilot licensing is especially onerous, where control systems allow flight to be a lot simpler, and a lot of very hard-to-fly technologies (like autogyros) can't be brought to mass scale not due to technology but simply due to regulation.


Didn't think of that.

I think a bankruptcy restructuring would do a world of good for Boeing, the sooner the better. The longer it keeps in this state, the further behind it gets.


Honestly, learning things and doing projects together brings memories too. If that wasn't the case, your family was doing it wrong.

Plenty of kids jam together in a garage, have awesome memories from the school band, or otherwise. Great memories are formed. Or sitting around a camp fire playing a harmonica or a guitar.

If you're learning "instead of" rather than "as a means to," well, there's your problem.


The browsing experience is dramatically faster with uBlock. The thousands of regexps don't come close to the CPU or memory load of ads.

A 386 could handle a regexp fine. Compare that to audio or video decoding for ads. Not the same ballpark by orders of magnitude.

It's dead because Google makes money from ads. I shifted to Firefox ages ago.


I traced the CPU usage on my wife's laptop many years ago. That wasn't a fast machine, but it wasn't a 386 either. The ad blockers were her performance problems, alone.

If the browser maintainers have seen a couple of machines with similar problems and maintainers of regexp-using add blockers simply insisted that their code was fast, "a 386 could handle" etc, I can easily see how the browser maintainers might lose patience. Don't need to assume ill will.


My comment wasn't that every ad blocker was performant. My comment was about uBlock specifically.

My comment wasn't that all algorithms are always efficient. It was that properly compiled regular expressions are.

Extensions often lead to performance issues.


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