> we get a new cambrian idea or core technology every 5-10 years, and obviously AI/ML is the current one since Nov 2022.
Seems like a backwards way of looking at it. There is _always_ a cambrian explosion every 5-10 years therefore AI is that explosion? Seems like you're asking for false positives. What if we _don't_ have one every 5-10 years?
AI is here because an AI product came out that millions of users found actually useful. The massive success of ChatGPT is what brought the current era of hype around AI - it's not anything VCs did.
Exactly. Just as we also see the sun rise each morning.
That, however, does not imply one predicts that the sun will forever rise each morning. In fact, we know that at some point the sun will no longer rise in the morning. But we see the sun rise each morning, and we see a new cambrian idea or core technology every 5-10 years.
> I'm not the one conflating anything here.
That's fair. Conflation implies intent. Whereas you are just confused.
My point is that there’s no guarantee this tech explosion will continue. Your logic appears to be “it has, so it will, until it doesn’t”, which… okay? All of your comments so far feel like you’re disagreeing with me just because you feel like being argumentative rather than because you have something useful to say.
Seems like a backwards way of looking at it. There is _always_ a cambrian explosion every 5-10 years therefore AI is that explosion? Seems like you're asking for false positives. What if we _don't_ have one every 5-10 years?